البرنامج النووي الإيراني وأثره على العلاقات الإيرانية -الأمريكية (2010-2021)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.35516/hum.v50i3.5406الكلمات المفتاحية:
السياسة الخارجية، توازن القوى، الاتفاق النووي، عقوبات، العلاقات الإيرانية الأمريكيةالملخص
الأهداف: تناقش هذه الورقة العلاقة بين إيران والولايات المتحدة الأمريكية مع التركيز على البرنامج النووي الإيراني، وكيف تعاملت الإدارات الأمريكية المتعاقبة مع هذا الملف، بالإضافة إلى سياسات وتوجهات الرئيس الأمريكي الجديد جو بايدن، والرئيس الإيراني الجديد إبراهيم رئيسي، ورئيس الوزراء الإسرائيلي الجديد بينيت نفتالي تجاه الاتفاق، معتمدة بذلك على النهج التحليلي.
المنهجية: تناقش هذه الورقة أحد الموضوعات الساخنة في العلاقات الدولية؛ حيث يؤثر الاتفاق النووي الإيراني على العلاقات بين الدول على المستويين الإقليمي والدولي، سوف ندرس ونحلل الظاهرة السياسية بكل أبعادها النظرية والواقعية. لم يعد مجال العلاقات الدولية مقصورًا على استقراء علاقات الدول والأحداث الدولية، أو شرح الظواهر الدولية الناشئة وتبرير السلوك الدولي اللاحق، بل تجاوز ذلك بالتعمق في الحدث باعتماد منهجية تحليلية مشتقة من المجالات السياسية والعلوم الاجتماعية.
النتائج: توصلت الورقة إن تطوير إيران وامتلاكها أسلحة نووية باعتبارها قوة إقليمية تمتلك برنامجها النووي، سيشكلان تهديدًا مباشرًا للاستقرار الإقليمي وقد يؤدي إلى سباق تسلح نووي محتمل في المنطقة. كما ستتعرض مصالح الولايات المتحدة وحلفائها في المنطقة للتهديد.
الخلاصة: خلصت الورقة إلى وجوب توصل واشنطن وطهران إلى اتفاق يناسب الطرفين للحفاظ على توازن القوى في المنطقة وتجنب أي سباق تسلح محتمل مع اقتراب الجولة السابعة من المفاوضات، وفي ظل سعي إيران المستمر لتحقيق طموحها بالهيمنة الإقليمية مزعزعة بذلك استقرار الشرق الأوسط، والذي يمثل تهديدًا استراتيجيًا لمصالح الولايات المتحدة وحلفائها، يجب على الولايات المتحدة إعادة تقييم سياساتها تجاه الشرق الأوسط لتضمن عدم استغلال إيران لقدرتها النووية وتخفيف العقوبات لتوسيع وبسط نفوذها في المنطقة.
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التنزيلات
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كيفية الاقتباس
إصدار
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