التداعيات الجيوسياسية لتوسع حلف الناتو في إقليم الشمال الأوروبي: انضمام فنلندا والسويد 2022 كدراسة حالة
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.35516/hum.v51i6.5430الكلمات المفتاحية:
التحليل الجيوسياسي، توَسع حِلف الناتو، انضمام فنلندا والسويد لحِلف الناتوالملخص
الأهداف: تسعى هذه الدراسة إلى بحث وتحليل التداعيات الجيوسياسية لتوسع حِلف الناتو في إقليم الشمال الأوروبي، وذلك عبر انضمام فنلندا والسويد للحِلف.
المنهجية: تنتهج الدراسة منهجية دراسة الحالة؛ لوصف وتفسير ومحاولة التنبؤ بمسار ظاهرة توسع حِلف الناتو عبر عضوية فنلندا والانضمام المُرتقب للسويد في حِلف الناتو.؛ حيث يُمكِّن هذا المنهج الباحثيَّن من تقديم تحليل وفَهم مُعمق للعلاقات الارتباطية والمتغيرات والديناميكيات التي تُؤثر في تَوسع حِلف الناتو في إقليم الشمال الأوروبي والتداعيات الجيوسياسية المُترتبة على هذا التوسع.
الخلاصة: إن انضمام فنلندا والسويد لحِلف الناتو يَحمل العديد من التداعيات الجيوسياسية المُهمة،؛ حيث إنّه يُؤسس لتفوق الحِلف في إقليم الشمال الأوروبي ويُطَوق المجال الحَيوي لروسيا، وتُمثل نقطة الانعطاف هذه تَحدياً استراتيجياً كبيراً لروسيا،؛ حيث تتضاعف الحدود المشتركة بين الجانبين لـ(2500كم) تقريباً.
النتائج: تستنج هذه الدراسة أن انضمام فنلندا والسويد لحِلف الناتو يعدُّ نقطة تحول في المشهد الجيوسياسي والأمني وتوازن القوى في إقليم الشمال الأوروبي، كما أن تضاعف الحدود المشتركة بين حِلف الناتو وروسيا سيؤدي إلى أنماط جديدة من التفاعل بين الجانبين؛ حيث تَرتفع احتمالات المُناوشات العسكرية غير المقصودة. إضافة إلى ذلك ، على الرغم من السياسات الديمُقراطية التي تنتهجها فنلندا والسويد، فإن نموذج السياسة الواقعية في الشؤون الخارجية يَبقى الأنجح لتحقيق الأمن والبقاء. وخِتاماً، تُؤكد الدراسة على أهمية الأطروحات الجيوسياسية التقليدية، وأهمية النظرية الواقعية في تفسير العلاقات والقضايا الدولية.
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التنزيلات
منشور
كيفية الاقتباس
إصدار
القسم
الرخصة
الحقوق الفكرية (c) 2024 دراسات: العلوم الإنسانية والاجتماعية

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