Spatial Analysis of Climatic Changes in Northern Borders Region Using Geographic Information Systems

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.35516/hum.v51i6.565

Keywords:

Climate change, Northern borders, GIS, temperatures, precipitation, Kingdom of Saudi Arabias

Abstract

Objectives: The study aims to analyze spatial distribution of temperature and precipitation and determining change rate that occurred in distribution of each of them between two periods: 1980 - 2000, and 2001 - 2021.

Methods: The study relies on climate satellite imagery from the Merra-2 (for temperature analysis), and (TRMM) imagery to analyze distribution and change of precipitation between 1980 - 2021 from NASA website. The imagery was processed using Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and the Spline algorithm in ArcGIS to derive variable layers. Percentage change analysis was conducted using the Percentage Change algorithm in Edrisi Selva software to determine the percentage changes in temperature and precipitation as means and standard deviations.

Results: The percentage change in temperature ranged between 3.22% in the east of the Northern Border Region and 5.85% in the west of the region, with a regional average and standard deviation of (4.35% - +0.72%). Precipitation changes varied between locations, ranging from -12.49% in the east and southeast of the region to 31.30% in the west and northwest of the Northern Border Region, with a regional average and standard deviation of (-27.4% - +24.54%).

Conclusion: The study concluded that the entire region experienced positive changes in temperature, with the western parts of the region undergoing faster changes compared to the eastern parts. The region witnessed spatial variations in precipitation changes between the two periods, but the general trend for precipitation in the region was towards a decrease with an average of -4.27%.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Almazroui. M. (2020). Changes in Temperature Trends and Extremes over Saudi Arabia for the Period 1978–2019. Advances in Meteorology, 2020, Article ID 8828421, 21 pages https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/8828421.

ALmazroui. A. (2020). Rainfall Trends and Extremes in Saudi Arabia in Recent Decades, Atmosphere, 11, 1-26.

Almazroui, M., Islam, M. N., Athar, H., Jones, P., and Rahman M. A. (2012). Recent climate change in the Arabian Peninsula: Seasonal rainfall and temperature climatology of Saudi Arabia for 1979–2009. Atmos. Res, 111, 29–45.

Almazroui, M., Islam, M. N., Dambul, R., Jones, P. D. (2014). Trends of temperature extremes in Saudi Arabia. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY Int. J. Climatol, 34, 808-826.

Almazroui, M., Islam, M. N., Saeed, S., Saeed, F., Ismail, M. (2020). Future Changes in Climate over the Arabian Peninsula based on CMIP6 Multimodel Simulations, Earth Systems and Environment, Published in partnership with CECCR at King Abdulaziz University, https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-020-00183-5.

Briner, S., Elkin, C., Huber, R., & Gret-Regamey, A. (2012). Assessing the impact of economic and climate changes on land-use in mountain regions: A spatial dynamic modelling approach. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 149, 50-63.

El-Samra, R. E., Bou-Zeid, H. K., Bangalath, G., Stenchikov, M., El-Fadel, M. (2017). Future intensification of hydro-meteorological extremes: Downscaling using the weather research and forecasting model. Climate Dyn., 49, 3765–3785.

Eniolorunda. N. B. (2014). Climate Change Analysis and Adaptation: The Role of Remote Sensing (Rs) a nd Geographical Information System (Gis). International Journal of Computational Engineering Research, 04(01), 41-51.

Franke, R. (1982). Smooth Interpolation of Scattered Data by Local Thin Plate Splines. Computer and Mathematics with Applications, 8(4).

Hasanean, H. & Almazroui, M. (2015). Rainfall: Features and Variations over Saudi Arabia, A Review. Climate 2015, 3, 578-626.

Hussain, S., Elfeki, A. M., Chaabani, A. Yibrie, E. A., Elhag, M. (2022). Spatio-temporal evaluation of remote sensing rainfall data of TRMM satellite over the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 149, 1-33.

Odnoletkova, N., & Patzek, W. P. (2021). Data-Driven Analysis of Climate Change in Saudi Arabia: Trends in Temperature Extremes and Human Comfort Indicators, Journal of applide meteorology and climatology, 60, 1055-1070.

Rauf, U. A., Ahmad, N., Ajmal, M., Malik, A., & Rahman, Z. (2022). Meteorological trend analysis for Najd and Hejaz regions, Saudi Arabia. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 134(35).

Schilling, J., Freier, K. P., Hertig, E., & Scheffran, J. (2012). Climate change, vulnerability, and adaptation in North Africa with a focus on Morocco. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 150, 12-26.

Scholz, F., & Hasse, U. (2008). Permanent wood sequestration: The solution to the global carbon dioxide problem. Chemistry – A European Journal, 14(1), 381-384.

Watterson, I. G. (2008). Calculation of probability density functions for temperature and precipitation change under global warming. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 113(D12).

Emirate of Northern Borders Region. (2022). Retrieved from https://www.moi.gov.sa

NASA. (n.d.). Giovanni: NASA's online data visualization and analysis tool. Retrieved from https://giovanni.gsfc.nasa.gov/giovanni/

Published

2024-10-01

How to Cite

Alabbad , H. A. . (2024). Spatial Analysis of Climatic Changes in Northern Borders Region Using Geographic Information Systems . Dirasat: Human and Social Sciences, 51(6), 157–206. https://doi.org/10.35516/hum.v51i6.565

Issue

Section

Geography
Received 2022-02-07
Accepted 2023-11-07
Published 2024-10-01